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Why is it a gas shortage- Why is it a gas shortage
Why is it a gas shortage
Last week, the media rushed to report that natural gas prices in the United States had fallen sharply after trade unions and railway companies reached a tentative deal that averted a potentially devastating strike. Indeed, natural gas prices fell by nearly a dollar per million British thermal units, helped by a respectable build in inventories. And yet, inventories remain below the seasonal average, exports are running at record rates, and producers are beginning to struggle to meet demand, both at home and abroad.
natural gas output—were having a hard time catching up with this demand. He also added there were no signs of any improvement in the level of inventories despite the rise in prices. None of this suggests lower prices for natural gas are coming to either the United States or international markets as the northern hemisphere heads into winter. On the contrary, the latest figures suggest more financial pain for gas consumers. And they confirm, to an extent, forecasts made earlier this year.
gas prices will converge with international prices towards the end of They noted something few other analysts tend to mention: the concentration of much of U. gas production in a handful of fields, with just two—Marcellus and Haynesville—accounting for as much as 40 percent of the total. The Permian contributes another 12 percent of the U. total gas output, and the rig count in the Permian has been down for two weeks in a row, according to the latest data.
Less drilling means less associated gas to add to the national total. Meanwhile, on the demand side, electricity generation in the United States is seen reaching a record high this year, Kemp noted in his column, driven by the post-pandemic economic rebound. A hotter summer also contributed. A cold winter would certainly push gas consumption even higher. Another contributor is the lack of alternative sources of electricity generation: coal plants are being retired, and droughts in many parts of the country have compromised its hydropower capacity, the Reuters analyst also noted.
While this is happening at home, demand for gas continues strong across the globe, too, as everyone seeks to stock up on fuel for the winter. energy companies are exporting liquefied natural gas at record rates.
And disgruntlement at home is beginning to rear its head. The governors then went on to call on the administration to make sure there was enough LNG for American consumers, essentially asking politicians to reduce LNG exports. This does not bode well for balance in the U. gas market. The decline would come as a result of rising local gas production, the EIA noted. In the meantime, however, until this increase in production materializes to a degree that begins to affect prices, there seems to be only one way they will be going: up.
It is unlikely that U. gas prices will climb anywhere near European levels, but they are up by a whopping percent from a few years ago when gas was cheap because it was abundant. That sort of price increase affects everything along the supply chain that involves electricity produced using gas, sending ripples across the economy.
And the more gas utilities use for lack of reliable alternatives, the longer the energy-driven inflation will continue.
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